Manchester City are strong at home, and Haaland leads the Premier League scoring charts with 9 goals in 8 league games, while the market clearly favours them to take points at the Etihad. However, Brighton have resisted well away from home, remaining unbeaten in their last four Premier League meetings with City, and Hürzeler has openly promised revenge, which adds motivation and tactical focus. The directional signals diverge, so both the draw and a Brighton upset must stay on the table.