Chelsea hold a clear home advantage, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat at Stamford Bridge this season and 11 goals scored. Both the market and the forecast lean toward them. Manchester United are in poor form, with only one win in eight league games and a 0-3-1 record away from home, so their attack has struggled to create real threats. Chelsea's defence is still a concern, however: they have conceded 15 goals in eight games, including 8 at home, and have not won either of their last two matches in all competitions. That points to a tight, low-scoring game in which Chelsea have the edge.