Corinthians hold the squad-value edge and the market favours them, which underpins the lean toward the home side. However, they have managed only 2 draws and 8 defeats in their last 10 matches, with a home win rate of just 32% and a relegation-zone position. Mirassol typically counter-attack effectively and score many first-half goals, and their recent form has improved, though two key absences weaken their wide and midfield play. Both sides have low attacking efficiency, the home advantage is limited, and a draw is a real possibility, so a low-scoring match is most likely.