Market prices and directional data both lean slightly toward Everton, supported by home advantage and a defence that has conceded under one goal per game over 10 matches with five clean sheets. Barry has contributed six goals in the last 10 games, giving the home side an attacking reference point. Newcastle ended a slump with a 2-0 win away at Crystal Palace and have had first-half goals in 7 of their last 10, but right-back Tino Livramento and goalkeeper Ivan Gaspar are out, adding pressure to the back line. Everton's recent 1 draw and 2 defeats and their frequent away draws mean neither side has a clear edge, so the draw must be kept in play. Overall the tempo should be cautious and a low-scoring game is more likely.