Both the odds and home advantage lean towards Frosinone, who have won three straight at home and whose in-form Raimondo is scoring regularly. The team has also never dropped points after taking a lead this season. However, the API direction diverges from the market: Lecce, though struggling recently, have remained unbeaten against Frosinone and have a steady away record. Hard data on both sides points to cautious play and a low-scoring game, so a draw or Lecce win must still be kept in view.