AC Milan have been solid at both ends at home, scoring 16 and conceding only 7 in eight league games, and both market and directional signals lean toward the hosts. Bologna's away attack has been toothless, several key forwards and wing-backs are out injured, and they have won only 2 of their last 6 meetings with AC Milan in Serie A, leaving them psychologically on the back foot. However, AC Milan face Inter in the derby just three days later, so rotation is a real risk. A draw and a low-scoring game remain live, so the call is a narrow home win with a conservative scoreline.