Everton have defended well across their last ten matches, Barry offers a notable goal threat, and their cup form and recent head-to-head record provide support. However, they are winless in their last three league games. Newcastle have just ended a poor run but are missing a goalkeeper and a right-back, giving the home side a slight edge while leaving a draw very much in play.
Everton are winless in their recent league matches, and their attack has lost some momentum.
Newcastle have defensive absences, but their recent win could restore their counterattacking threat.
Confidence53%
Claude
READY
OutcomeEverton win
Regular scores
1-01-12-1
Risk scores
0-21-2
Model insight
Market prices and directional data both lean slightly toward Everton, supported by home advantage and a defence that has conceded under one goal per game over 10 matches with five clean sheets. Barry has contributed six goals in the last 10 games, giving the home side an attacking reference point. Newcastle ended a slump with a 2-0 win away at Crystal Palace and have had first-half goals in 7 of their last 10, but right-back Tino Livramento and goalkeeper Ivan Gaspar are out, adding pressure to the back line. Everton's recent 1 draw and 2 defeats and their frequent away draws mean neither side has a clear edge, so the draw must be kept in play. Overall the tempo should be cautious and a low-scoring game is more likely.
Everton's form has dipped, with one draw and two defeats in three games and a negative goal difference, so their attacking output is uncertain
Newcastle are missing their right-back and goalkeeper, which may affect defensive organisation and goalkeeping decisions
The availability of Lewis Miley and Fernandez-Pardo is still unconfirmed, which could change midfield balance
Confidence57%
Gemini
READY
OutcomeEverton win
Regular scores
1-01-12-1
Risk scores
0-12-2
Model insight
Everton boasts a solid defensive record and historical advantage under David Moyes against Newcastle United. Although Newcastle recently ended their slump, injury issues in defense and poor away head-to-head form favor the hosts.
Everton is winless in their last three league matches with low attacking efficiency.
Newcastle United recovered momentum after beating Crystal Palace and aims for cup success.
Confidence68%
Grok
READY
OutcomeEverton win
Regular scores
1-02-11-1
Risk scores
0-13-2
Model insight
This model did not return any data.
This model did not return any data.
Confidence66%
DeepSeek
READY
OutcomeEverton win
Regular scores
1-11-02-1
Risk scores
0-12-2
Model insight
Everton are rock-solid at home with five clean sheets in ten and under a goal conceded per game, plus two shutout wins in this cup run. Newcastle have won three of five away games to nil but collapsed 4-1 twice, and are missing Livramento and goalkeeper Javan while Miley is doubtful. Everton have won three of the last six meetings, so a narrow home win is the pick, though 1-1 after 90 minutes is also very much alive.
Newcastle have won three of five away games to nil with ruthless counters, while Everton have failed to score in their last two league games and could be punished if they overcommit.
Cup rotation may dilute both line-ups and their intent; Newcastle have twice beaten Everton 4-1, so if the home defence cracks the scoreline could spiral quickly.
Confidence63%
FINAL CONSENSUS
Everton win · 1-0
Confidence59%
REGULAR1-1 / 1-0 / 2-1
RISK0-1 / 0-2
EDITORIAL SIGNALSIndependent football predictions from GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek for Everton vs Newcastle.
Match storylineEverton win
Tempo outlookCautious opening, with more transition space after halftime.
Model spreadThe current consensus leans toward Everton win.
