Cagliari's morale dipped after a 0-4 loss, and with Felici, Idrissi and Trepy out they struggle to score at home; they have only one win in six meetings with Bologna. Bologna are also without Orsolini and Piccoli and are equally blunt in attack, but the head-to-head edge makes a narrow win or a draw the likelier paths.
Cagliari sit well above Bologna and usually protect a home lead; Bologna have not come back in any away game this season after going behind
Both forward lines are thinned by injuries and each side has scored only six goals in seven league games, so 1-1 or even 0-0 can still flip the result
Confidence59%
Claude
READY
OutcomeBologna win
Regular scores
0-11-10-0
Risk scores
2-10-3
Model insight
The market and head-to-head record both lean slightly toward away side Bologna, but a draw is also rated highly, so the direction is not firm. Cagliari have struggled to create chances this season, won only one of their last two league games, and lost 0-4 away to Monza last round, while several attackers and wide players are unavailable. Bologna are also in poor form, scoring just six goals in seven league games, although they have had the better of recent meetings with Cagliari. Both attacks lack efficiency, so a cautious, low-scoring game is most likely.
Cagliari have scored a fair number of first-half goals at home; an early lead could disrupt Bologna's rhythm.
Bologna have struggled to come back from behind on the road, so an early concession could quickly tilt the match or spiral out of control.
Injuries and poor attacking form on both sides could produce a stalemate, making a draw or a one-goal margin the main risks.
Confidence57%
Gemini
READY
OutcomeBologna win
Regular scores
0-11-10-0
Risk scores
2-11-2
Model insight
Cagliari were thrashed 0-4 by Monza last time out and are short on forwards, while Bologna have managed only six goals in seven league games and lack cutting edge; their head-to-head record is clearly superior. The market slightly favors the away side, so a narrow Bologna win or a draw is the main storyline, with Cagliari's solid home defense keeping the draw live.
Cagliari's home defense is solid and their winning rate when taking the lead at home is high, so an early goal could spark a home upset.
Bologna have lost 100% of their away games when falling behind, and their defensive fragility leaves them open to being pegged back or overturned.
Confidence70%
Grok
READY
OutcomeDraw
Regular scores
1-10-11-0
Risk scores
0-22-1
Model insight
Cagliari has goals in the first half in 8 of their last 10 matches and wins 80% of home games when leading, but their attack is weak with only 6 goals and missing forwards. Bologna scores 50% of goals in the first half and has a 100% loss rate when trailing away. Cagliari's recent H2H record against Bologna is poor. Odds and API point to draw or away win, with neutral weather favoring control, so both teams struggle to win.
Lineups and late match news may change the result.
Confidence68%
DeepSeek
READY
OutcomeBologna win
Regular scores
0-11-10-0
Risk scores
1-02-1
Model insight
Both teams have scored just six goals in seven league games and the edge still points slightly to Bologna. Cagliari have won only one of their last six league meetings with Bologna and were thrashed 4-0 last time out, exposing the space behind their advanced back line, while long-term absences of Felici and Idrissi thin the wide rotation. With two goals in three home games, a narrow away win or a draw is the sensible call.
Bologna's injury list includes Orsolini, Holm and Piccoli; losing all three would blunt an attack already averaging under a goal per game
Cagliari have conceded just twice in three home games and win 80% of home matches in which they take the lead, making a comeback hard once they score first
Neither side has a reliable finisher, so a long 0-0 stalemate could turn the draw into the biggest threat to the pick
Confidence59%
FINAL CONSENSUS
Bologna win · 0-1
Confidence58%
REGULAR0-1 / 1-1 / 0-0
RISK2-1 / 0-2
EDITORIAL SIGNALSIndependent football predictions from GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek for Cagliari vs Bologna.
Match storylineBologna win
Tempo outlookCautious opening, with more transition space after halftime.
Model spreadThe current consensus leans toward Bologna win.
