Brighton vs Arsenal — This page records the published five-model prediction. A verified final score is added only when it is available in the project’s finished-match snapshot.
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Brighton are in excellent scoring form and have shown strong resilience, but the absences of Kaoru Mitoma, Yankuba Minteh and others weaken their wing play and squad rotation. Arsenal have won seven straight, conceded only once in four league matches and hold the stronger head-to-head record; despite defensive doubts, the away win remains likelier.
Brighton's recent scoring output and unbeaten home record could punish Arsenal's injury-hit defense if the hosts score first.
Both teams played midweek cup matches, so fatigue, rotation and the strong wind could disrupt defensive concentration and game control.
Confidence74%
Claude
READY
OutcomeArsenal win
Regular scores
1-20-11-1
Risk scores
2-12-2
Model insight
Arsenal have won seven straight in all competitions, conceding just once in four league games, and are unbeaten in their last seven against Brighton with a three-game sweep last season. Brighton have scored 20 in six but miss key attackers including Mitoma and Ferguson, making a home upset difficult.
Arsenal's back line misses Saliba and Mosquera with White doubtful, so Brighton's in-form home attack could still score or even spring an upset.
Both sides played midweek cup ties; Brighton's comeback at Manchester United drained energy, and fatigue could open the game up late.
Confidence70%
Gemini
READY
OutcomeArsenal win
Regular scores
1-20-21-1
Risk scores
2-22-1
Model insight
Arsenal boasts a winning streak and dominates head-to-head records. While Brighton's attack is potent, severe injuries to key players like Kaoru Mitoma weaken their depth, making an away win the expected outcome despite Arsenal's defensive absentees.
Arsenal's defense misses key players like William Saliba and Ben White, posing a risk against a high-scoring Brighton side.
Brighton demonstrates incredible resilience at home, recently completing a remarkable comeback win.
Confidence82%
Grok
READY
OutcomeArsenal win
Regular scores
1-20-11-1
Risk scores
2-10-3
Model insight
Arsenal are four wins from four in the league with one goal conceded and unbeaten in their last seven against Brighton, including consecutive away clean sheets. Brighton remain prolific and just overturned Manchester United, but Mitoma, Minteh, Ferguson and Wieffer are missing, which strips their wide threat. Saliba's absence keeps a draw in play, yet Arsenal still look likelier to edge it.
Brighton keep scoring through the absences and can still steal this at home
Arsenal are without Saliba and have doubts over White, leaving set-piece and transition gaps
Confidence69%
DeepSeek
READY
OutcomeArsenal win
Regular scores
1-20-21-1
Risk scores
2-12-2
Model insight
Arsenal have won all four league games while conceding once, kept two away clean sheets and gone 5-2-0 against Brighton in the last seven meetings. Brighton have scored in six straight matches at 3.2 goals per game, but Mitoma, Minteh, Ferguson and several others are out, thinning their wide and forward options. Saliba and Mosquera missing leaves gaps in Arsenal's defence, so the hosts may score, yet the overall edge stays with the visitors.
Brighton average 2.5 goals at home and press high, so an early breakthrough against Arsenal's patched-up defence would sharply raise the chance of an upset
Arsenal are juggling multiple competitions with an unsettled back line; if the game turns into a scrappy battle, the draw risk rises
Confidence68%
FINAL CONSENSUS
Arsenal win · 1-2
Confidence73%
REGULAR1-2 / 1-1 / 0-1
RISK2-1 / 2-2
EDITORIAL SIGNALSIndependent football predictions from GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek for Brighton vs Arsenal.
Match storylineArsenal win
Tempo outlookCautious opening, with more transition space after halftime.
Model spreadThe current consensus leans toward Arsenal win.
