Groningen vs PEC Zwolle — This page records the published five-model prediction. A verified final score is added only when it is available in the project’s finished-match snapshot.
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The market strongly favors Groningen, whose home advantage, points total and recent attacking output are superior, with Willumsson already on four goals. PEC Zwolle can score away but have absences across all three lines. Both sides often see first-half goals, while Groningen can squander leads, so the home win leads but draws and an away upset must be covered.
The market's home-win lean clearly conflicts with draw or away-win indications
Neither defense has been reliable, and both teams face a risk of conceding after taking the lead
Confidence48%
Claude
READY
OutcomeGroningen win
Regular scores
2-11-12-2
Risk scores
1-22-3
Model insight
Groningen are winless in their last four league games and have lost half of their defeats after taking the lead, while PEC Zwolle, despite sitting in the relegation zone, have scored 83% of their goals on the road and are unbeaten in the last four head-to-heads, three of them draws. Willumsson's four goals in six rounds are the hosts' main trump card, but the short home price clearly diverges from the underlying data, making the draw and an away upset live scenarios.
Groningen are winless in four league rounds, keep dropping points from winning positions and have zero clean sheets this season
PEC Zwolle's attack is far more productive away from home (83% of goals on the road) and they are unbeaten in the last four head-to-heads, so the market may be underestimating their chances
Confidence38%
Gemini
READY
OutcomeGroningen win
Regular scores
2-11-12-0
Risk scores
2-21-2
Model insight
Groningen hold the home advantage with striker Willumsson in sharp form, while PEC Zwolle are reeling from a 7-0 thrashing and key defensive injuries. Despite the visitors scoring most of their goals on the road, Groningen have the offensive edge to secure all three points.
Historical head-to-head fixtures have frequently resulted in competitive draws.
Groningen have shown a tendency to drop points from winning positions and lack clean sheets.
Confidence58%
Grok
READY
OutcomeGroningen win
Regular scores
2-11-13-1
Risk scores
1-22-2
Model insight
Groningen have the stronger home attack, with Willumsson on four league goals, while PEC Zwolle are reeling from a heavy defeat and missing Ryan Thomas and Younes Namli. Still, this fixture keeps finishing level, Groningen are winless in four and leak leads, and they concede every week, so a draw stays live.
Groningen are winless in four and have dropped points from winning positions, while PEC Zwolle score most of their goals away
The head-to-head is packed with draws and both defences are leaky, so the game can stall into a stalemate
Confidence54%
DeepSeek
READY
OutcomeGroningen win
Regular scores
2-11-12-0
Risk scores
1-23-2
Model insight
Groningen score reliably at home — Willumsson already has four goals and the side has netted in all six league games — but twice dropping points from winning positions reveals a brittle defensive edge. PEC Zwolle have scored 83% of their goals away from home, and four of the last six meetings ended level. The hosts still hold the edge in quality and home advantage, but a low-scoring draw remains a genuine threat.
Groningen have twice dropped points from winning positions, with concentration dipping late in games
PEC Zwolle score 83% of their goals away from home and four of the last six meetings were draws, so a draw or an away win cannot be dismissed
Confidence38%
FINAL CONSENSUS
Groningen win · 2-1
Confidence47%
REGULAR2-1 / 1-1 / 2-0
RISK1-2 / 2-3
EDITORIAL SIGNALSIndependent football predictions from GPT, Claude, Gemini, Grok and DeepSeek for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle.
Match storylineGroningen win
Tempo outlookCautious opening, with more transition space after halftime.
Model spreadThe current consensus leans toward Groningen win.
